
From SmartMoney.com: "Investors in radio
stocks need to take a Stern look at
the problems facing the industry.
"By Stern, of course, we mean broadcasting
giant Howard Stern, the self-coronated king of all media. His
impending January switch to subscription satellite service
Sirius
Satellite Radio leaves traditional, or terrestrial, radio
executives on edge as they wait to see how
many of his 12 million listeners make the switch.
"Stern isn't the only problem for radio operators.
Internet radio is gathering steam,
offering free music without the commercials. Listeners who like
what they hear can immediately download stuff and store it on
their iPods...
"'A year ago, most any radio CEO would have
told you [these things were] having almost no impact,' says
Frederick Moran, an analyst with Stanford Group, a full-service
brokerage in Houston. 'This is the first time
radio is seeing competition other than
themselves and other established media,'...
"Sirius is expected to nearly double its
subscriber growth in 2006. In contrast, radio-station ratings
were flat for the
spring
quarter according to ratings tracker Arbitron, which recorded
nearly 1% national growth for the same period last year. And
because of the ratings troubles, stations
are beginning to lose their pricing power for ads...
"Meantime, breakups and spinoffs will shake
up industry leaders Clear Channel Communications and Infinity
Broadcasting — most likely before the end of the year...
"Infinity is trying to beat back the satellite
onslaught. It has registered a dozen Internet domain
names in major markets, all of which include a station's
frequency numbers, followed by 'freefm.com,' the radio industry
news web site FMBQ reported Tuesday. The
message is clear: Satellite is a pay service; Infinity's
terrestrial radio is free...
"At San Antonio-based Clear Channel...(t)he
company's new ad-pricing strategy, dubbed 'less is
more,'
seeks to improve prices by reducing ad inventory.
Clear Channel's ad count dropped an
estimated 27% during the quarter.
"The less-is-more strategy might pay off in
the future if it woos back listeners put off by long commercial
blocks...
"But while less may be more in the long run,
Clear Channel's short-term profit outlook
could be summed up as less is less. Wall Street analysts
expect quarterly earnings of
38 cents a share, a 13% decline from the same period a year ago.
They expect full-year earnings of $1.23 a share, an 11% drop."
Read this story online at
SmartMoney.com. |