The Rebound of Internet Radio
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To ears tuned to the big media, satellite ventures like Sirius and XM
sound like the future of radio. But while those companies have loudly
spent buttloads for marquee names like Howard Stern and Jimmy Buffett,
another sector of the industry has been quietly gathering strength:
Web radio. Basement hobbyists and semi-pros alike are developing a
business model from the bottom up, and although you won't hear it from
any celebrity spokespeople, those quaint little webcasts are beginning
to usurp power effectively from the Clear Channels of the world, and
evolve into a solvent media movement.
Last week's Streaming Media East conference at the New York Hilton
was Internet radio's state-of-the-union address. Though SME hasn't
fully rebounded from its halcyon turn-of-the-millennium era—booths
numbered only about 40, and most focused on hardware and software, as
opposed to content—the event carried an optimistic vibe. This is
thanks in no small part to the iPod. Apple didn't just re-energize the
singles market, it provided a new outlet for the digital radio
industry via online music's latest wrinkle, podcasting. Podcasts—words
or music recorded as discrete programs and made available for
download—allow the user to not only time-shift, but also space-shift
and media-shift content, liberating web radio streams from the tether
of real-time broadcast.
But even old-fashioned, non-podcast web radio has plenty going for
it. Here are the broad strokes:
You no longer need a desk to access the Internet. Wi-fi is fast
becoming a way of life in urban areas—notably in Philadelphia, where
it's being rapidly deployed publicly, and will soon approach ubiquity.
And content is now easily transferred to portable playback devices.
Web radio is free. Sirius and XM subscriptions both run $12.95 a
month and upwards, in addition to the hardware investment of
$100-plus.
It plays big artists shunned on the airwaves. Adult-contemporary
crooners Michael Buble and Josh Groban and classical-opera modernizers
Il Divo have best-selling albums on the charts, but as they're outside
the rock-pop-hip-hop spectrum, trad radio gives them no love.
It's not a bubble. Clayton Christensen, author of the
award-winning best-seller The Innovator's Dilemma, outlined a
theory of "disruptive
technology" that suggested what makes some innovations succeed
better than others. Web radio is a such a technology: Rather than
outpacing customer needs, it started out below expectations and has
since risen to meet and subsequently guide its market. This gradual
success also stands in sharp contrast to the hundreds of millions of
dollars hemorrhaged to date by Wall Street darlings XM and Sirius.
There's money in it, now. With the cost of bandwidth declining,
professional webcasters are beginning to turn a profit. As Kevin
Shively, East Coast account manager for Net Radio sales, notes, this
has encouraged Fortune 500 companies to incorporate net radio
advertising into their business plans.
The Sirius business model, observed Drew Robertson of PhoneRanger
Wireless Solutions, aims for penetration in 10 percent of cars in the
next five years. According to Hanson, though, "the vast majority of
in-car listening is not on the interstates," but rather, in urban
areas (i.e., during commute time), so there aren't long stretches of
tune-in time—resulting in poor audience numbers outside drive-time,
which is sure to scare off advertisers. Oldies DJ Barry Scott adds: "A
lot of people got [satellite radio] free with their cars. It just came
with the car as-is—I don't think [the car owners] even listen." (A
point also made during Hanson's panel.) In other words, satellite
radio is relying on a health-club model in which money is made off
those who subscribe to a product without using it—which only works
until that wave of subscribers cancels en masse.
Scott, a longtime radio veteran who works in Internet broadcasting,
makes another point. His Boston-based show, "The
Lost 45s" was once syndicated to trad radio. But program directors
took umbrage with him playing forgotten chart hits: "What they wanted
was, every time someone punched in their radio station, they got the
same old song that they always play, so that you knew instantly what
their station was about." His show has nevertheless been number one in
its market for several years. But only on the Internet can he easily
expand beyond that market without being subject to narrow format
rules.
As webcast personalization has improved, audiences have
demonstrated that they care less about celeb DJs than getting the
music they want. Meanwhile, even the perennially out-of-step
Rolling Stone has cited RAIN publisher Kurt Hanson's own AccuRadio
as one of radio's "best and most adventurous" properties. As hype
goes, it ain't much. But at least web radio has earned it.